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By Kandie Frederick

Growing up on the central coast, Kandie is a third generation family in the North County and a second generation family in real estate. Joining Country Real Estate in 2000, and graduating from Cal Poly in San Luis Obispo, she brings a background of Agricultural Business to combine with her knowledge of the local real estate market. Working with her family and their decades of local real estate development, she is deeply connected to the roots of our community and its growth.

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Are mortgage rates finally stabilizing, or is this just another temporary dip? ** ** The Federal Reserve’s recent rate cut has sparked hope. Buyers are asking if homes have just become more affordable. Homeowners are wondering if now’s the right time to refinance.

But here’s the catch: mortgage rates don’t simply mirror the Fed’s moves. The story is more complex and more important than the headlines suggest. Here’s what’s really driving rates right now.

The Fed made a move, but mortgages don’t follow automatically. The Fed lowered its benchmark rate by a quarter percent, aiming to support the economy. That sounds like good news, but mortgage rates don’t move in lockstep with the Fed. Instead, they’re shaped by bigger forces like bond markets, inflation expectations, and investor behavior.

Why rates slipped before the Fed even spoke. Mortgage rates have eased a little, with the 30-year rate now in the low 6% range. But here’s the surprising part: markets often react before the Fed announces a decision. Investors had already priced in the rate cut, so mortgage rates started dipping in advance. From here, the direction will depend on inflation data and long-term bond yields, not just the Fed’s moves.

“Even if Fed rate cuts don’t directly lower mortgage rates, opportunities remain in the market.”

What this means if you’re buying or refinancing. For homeowners thinking about refinancing, this may be a smart window to act. Even a small dip can add up to real savings. For buyers, every fraction of a percent improves affordability.

Waiting for the “perfect” rate can mean missing opportunities. The rule of thumb still holds: if the payment feels comfortable, it’s the right time to move.

The Fed’s cut is a positive step, but mortgage rates still hinge on inflation and market stability. More relief may come, or the climb could be slow. Either way, real estate remains a strong long-term investment, and the smartest move is acting when the payment fits your situation.

If you have questions about buying, refinancing, or planning your next move, reach out to (805) 878-2225 or send an email to kandie@countryrealestate.com. I’m here to guide you through the options.

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